Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
30 September - 07 October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, northern Burundi, Rwanda, parts of northern Somalia and western Kenya.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern Ethiopia and central to southern Somalia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than average temperatures expected over eastern and northern regions of South Sudan.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record) expected over areas in central to northern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, northern Somalia and central to northern Uganda.
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in north-central Uganda, central to north-central parts of South Sudan, and pockets in western Ethiopia.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (>32℃) expected in Afar region in Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, central to south-western Kenya, and western regions of both Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of the Red Sea coast, Afar region in Ethiopia, and most parts of central to eastern Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) expected over parts of central to northern South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in most parts of Rwanda, Uganda, northern Burundi, western Kenya, South Sudan, western Kenya and northern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in parts of southern Sudan, eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, southern and eastern Tanzania.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2187 results
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual conditions predicted over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual conditions forecast over regions southern Ethiopia, and other few regions across the GHA.
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in north-eastern parts of the country.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern and north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over the rest of the country.
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Very Heavy rainfall (exceeding the top 5% on record) expected in parts of central to southern Ethiopia and northern and western Kenya.
- Heavy rainfall (reaching top 10% on record) expected over southern Somalia, …
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over cross border regions of Sudan and South Sudan and Afar region in Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, southern Somalia, northern and western Kenya, Rwanda and northern and central to southern Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern parts of …