Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
17 - 24 February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, northern, eastern and southern Tanzania, south-western Kenya, central to western Uganda and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Less than usual rainfall expected in parts of western Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and parts of northern and southern Tanzania.
- Most of the eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, as well as northern and southern Tanzania, are likely to experience flooding incidences in the coming week. During this period, communities in high-risk areas are encouraged to be cautious.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of south-western Tanzania, parts of western Kenya and other isolated regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, southern and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Eritrea.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of north-western Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress in “Extreme Caution” category expected over eastern Tanzania, eastern South Sudan and eastern Kenya into southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (>200mm) expected over parts of southern Tanzania.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi, Rwanda, Tanzania and south-western parts of Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Uganda and southern parts of South Sudan.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2342 results
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, northern Uganda, western Kenya, eastern South Sudan, central to eastern Sudan and northern to south-western Ethiopia.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over …
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over northern Sudan, and parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, north-western Somalia and north-eastern Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃)expected over most parts of South Sudan, southern to central …
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) expected over parts of south-western Sudan, and western parts of Ethiopia, Eritrea and Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to southern …
Floods update
Floods Update
- The expected very heavy rainfall over a few places in parts of central to eastern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, northern Ethiopia and most parts of Eritrea and Djibouti is likely to lead to …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected in central to southern Sudan, western Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern Ethiopia.
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall is expected in parts of the southern and northern regions of Somalia.