Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
05 - 12 November 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to southern regions of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, western and northern Tanzania western Rwanda and eastern Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over central Kenya, parts of eastern Uganda, northern and southern Tanzania and central to southern Somalia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over a few regions south-western Ethiopia, coastal areas of Somalia and isolated areas over the region.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over northern Somalia, parts of Rwanda, southern Ethiopia and parts of Uganda.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, eastern Ethiopia and eastern parts of both Rwanda and Uganda.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, central to south-western Kenya, and parts of western regions of both Burundi, and Rwanda.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected expected in parts of South Sudan and coastal Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in Rwanda, Burundi, western Tanzania, south-western and central Uganda, parts of central and western Kenya, parts of southern South Sudan and southern Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in parts of eastern Tanzania, most parts of eastern and northern Kenya, central to southern Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and southern South Sudan.
Weekly Forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, central to southern Sudan, central to western Kenya, central to western Ethiopia, northern Djibouti, northern Somalia, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Less than …
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (>32℃) expected in central Sudan and Afar region in Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, eastern and northern …
Floods update
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in central-eastern Sudan, and northern and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Somalia, with temperatures exceeding 32 ℃ over parts of north-western coastal regions.
Heavy rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record) expected over areas in central to south-eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, northern and eastern Ethiopia, and north-eastern Somalia.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (>32℃) expected in central to northern Sudan and Afar region in Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, eastern …