Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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31 March - 07 April 2026

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over most of southern Tanzania, central to southern Ethiopia, western and northern parts of South Sudan into southern parts of Sudan.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, western and northern Tanzania, southern and eastern Kenya, as well as a few regions in south-western Somalia and southern parts of South Sudan.  
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts of southern Tanzania and isolated areas in central to southern Ethiopia. 
Floods update
  • There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas over southern and north-eastern Ethiopia and central to north-western Rwanda.
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over most highland regions across the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Elevated temperatures exceeding 32℃ expected over most parts of central to eastern South Sudan and south-eastern parts of Sudan.  
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of the Ethiopian highlands, central to western Kenya and western regions of both Rwanda and Burundi, and parts of south-western Tanzania. 
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
  • Elevated heat stress in the Danger category expected over the northern regions of South Sudan and south-eastern parts of Sudan, as well as eastern parts of both Tanzania, Kenya and south-western parts of Somalia.  
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of southern Tanzania, southern Ethiopia and western regions of South Sudan, Rwanda and Burundi. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Kenya, South Sudan, eastern Rwanda, parts of Burundi, central to northern Tanzania, southern and northern Somalia, and parts of southern Sudan and western Uganda.

Weekly Forecasts

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Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Light rainfall is expected in parts of the southern and northern regions of Somalia.
6 - 13 August 2024 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Very heavy rainfall (rainfall amounts exceeding the top 5% on record) expected in parts of central, eastern and western Sudan, central to north-eastern Ethiopia, much of Eritrea, and Djibouti.   
31 - 7 August 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of central, eastern and western Sudan, central and southern South Sudan, much of Eritrea, northern and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, parts of northern Uganda and western Kenya. …
31 - 7 August 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over northern Sudan, north-eastern Ethiopia and coastal regions of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia.    
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of central to southern …
31 - 7 August 2024 Read More
Floods update
Floods update

Floods Update

  • The expected very heavy rainfall over few places in parts of central, eastern and western Sudan, central to north-eastern Ethiopia, much of Eritrea, and Djibouti is likely to lead to floods.
  • Communities in …
31 - 7 August 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures (20-32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country, with temperatures above 32 ℃ expected in parts of the north-western coastal regions.
31 - 7 August 2024 Read More