Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
11 - 18 February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and central to northern regions of Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected parts of western Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts of central to northern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA, with parts of Sudan, Eritrea, north-western Ethiopia, and northern and western South Sudan being at least 2 degrees C warmer than the average.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan, Djibouti, Eritrea and central to southern regions of Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of north-western Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress in “Extreme Caution” category over eastern Tanzania, eastern South Sudan and eastern Kenya into southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (>200mm) expected over isolated areas of southern Tanzania.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to northern Uganda, southern South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, south-western Kenya, and most parts of coastal regions of Somalia.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2333 results
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (>32℃) expected in Afar region of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea and eastern Ethiopia.
- Mild temperature …
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than average temperatures expected over a few regions in western and south-eastern South Sudan and other isolated areas across the GHA.
Rainfall forecast
- Heavy rainfall expected over isolated areas in northern parts of Somalia.
- Moderate rainfall expected over northern and central parts of Somalia.
- Light rainfall expected over central to southern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200 mm) expected over parts of northern Somalia and isolated areas in western South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia and western Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in most parts Rwanda, Burundi, …
Floods update
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in northern Somalia, central parts of southern Ethiopia, western Rwanda, isolated areas in western South Sudan, and pockets of central Kenya.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to western regions of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, northern Somalia, parts of western Kenya, central to eastern Uganda, Rwanda and Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected …