Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
02 - 09 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central and southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, southern Sudan, and northern and south-eastern parts of Ethiopia
Weekly Forecasts
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Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over …
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall (less than 50) predicted over southern and isolated areas in northern parts of the country.
- Dry conditions expected over central to northern parts of Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200mm) expected over isolated areas in western parts of the country.
- Moderate rainfall (50 –200 mm) expected in most parts of the country.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over …
Heavy rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected over central to western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected in isolated areas in northern Somalia, central Ethiopia, and central Kenya.