Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
02 - 09 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central and southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, southern Sudan, and northern and south-eastern parts of Ethiopia
Weekly Forecasts
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Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Extremely heavy rainfall expected in isolated areas of north-western Ethiopia.
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall expected in much of western and northern Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of southern Sudan, and central to western …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western to northern parts of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of southern Sudan, north-western Uganda, south-western and few areas in northern South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected …
Temperature forecast
- Hot temperatures (above 32℃) expected over northern coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate temperatures (20-32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200mm) expected over isolated areas in central and northern parts of the country.
- Moderate rainfall (50 –200 mm) expected in most parts of the country.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and northern parts of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, central and isolated areas in southern South Sudan, western, southern and isolated areas in northern Sudan, and northern Uganda. …
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over isolated parts in western Ethiopia, southern and western Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, western Eritrea, western and northern Ethiopia, …