Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
02 - 09 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central and southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, southern Sudan, and northern and south-eastern parts of Ethiopia
Weekly Forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, isolated areas in western and south-western Sudan, northern Uganda, and southern Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of central …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Ethiopia and north-western South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of central to northern Ethiopia, northern Eritrea, much of South Sudan, southern and central …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional Rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected over much of the northern parts of the country.
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected in western Ethiopia, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas of southern Sudan.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Hot conditions (above 32℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20 - 32℃) expected over South Sudan, …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected in cross-border regions of north-western Ethiopia, western Eritrea, and eastern Sudan, southern Sudan, and northern South Sudan.