Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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02 - 09 June 2026

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia. 
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
  • Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central  and  southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and  southern Somalia.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia,  southern Sudan,  and northern and south-eastern parts of  Ethiopia 

Weekly Forecasts

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Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Moderate rainfall (50 –200 mm) expected over isolated parts of north-eastern Somalia.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50) predicted over most parts of the country.
  • Dry conditions are expected over a few south-western parts of the …
16 - 23 May 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Moderate rainfall (50 –200 mm) expected over central to northern parts of the country.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
10 - 17 May 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern South Sudan into northern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and north-eastern Somalia.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over southern regions of South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Somalia, northern …
10 - 17 May 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of the country.
10 - 17 May 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Hot temperatures (greater than 32 ℃) expected in few areas in the north-eastern parts of South Sudan.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (24 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts the country.
10 - 17 May 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over southern Sudan into neighbouring northern parts of South Sudan, north-western Eritrea, and Afar region of Ethiopia.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20 - 32℃) expected over central …
10 - 17 May 2023 Read More