Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
14 - 21 April 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over southern and part of western Tanzania, central areas of Burundi and isolated areas in Kenya and Ethiopia.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of South Sudan, Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, and central to northern Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over southern coastal Tanzania and isolated places in northern Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated areas in Ethiopia and Kenya.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32℃ expected over most parts of South Sudan, southern to south-eastern regions of Sudan, western Eritrea, and Afar region of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected most of the highlands across the GHA as well as over western Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress within the ‘Danger’ category expected over parts of eastern South Sudan and ‘extreme caution’ category expected over western parts of South Sudan, eastern parts of Kenya and Tanzania, southern to central Somalia, coastal regions of Eritrea and southern to eastern regions of Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of coastal Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and north-western, southern to eastern Tanzania.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to northern Tanzania, South Sudan, Kenya, central to southern and north-western Somalia, southern Uganda, Sudan, and Ethiopia.
Weekly Forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Moderate rainfall forecasted over isolated areas in the northern and central to southern parts of the country.
- Light rainfall forecasted over the central to northern parts of the country and isolated areas in the southern …
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected in western Sudan, north-western South Sudan, northern Ethiopia, central to northern Somalia, and south-eastern Tanzania.
- Cooler than usual temperatures are expected over Lake Victoria Basin extending into central …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, and isolated parts of southern South Sudan and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200mm) expected over isolated parts of Tanzania, Kenya, and Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, most parts of Uganda, southern to eastern Ethiopia, most parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of the country.
- Cold conditions with temperatures (less than 20 ℃) expected over isolated areas in northern parts of the country.