Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
02 - 09 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central and southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, southern Sudan, and northern and south-eastern parts of Ethiopia
Weekly Forecasts
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Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Very heavy (top 5%) rainfall expected over north-eastern and southern parts of Ethiopia, northern Kenya and south-western parts of Uganda.
- Heavy (top 10%) rainfall expected over eastern parts of Rwanda, and isolated areas …
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern and western parts of Tanzania and south-eastern Kenya.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, Uganda, Rwanda, Kenya, southern and north-western Somalia, southern …
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected in most parts of Sudan, eastern Ethiopia, central to northern Somalia and most parts of Tanzania.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over Uganda, southern South Sudan, parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western Tanzania, most parts of Uganda, parts of southern to central Ethiopia, western and central to northern Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) …
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall is forecast over the central to southern parts of the country and isolated areas in the northern parts.
- Dry conditions expected in the central to north-eastern parts of the country.