Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
02 - 09 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania
- Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central and southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, southern Sudan, and northern and south-eastern parts of Ethiopia
Weekly Forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to southern parts of the country.
- Dry conditions expected in northern and eastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, south-western South Sudan and western Uganda.
Temperature forecast
- Hot temperatures above 32 ℃ expected in eastern parts of the country.
- Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected in central to western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of the country.
- Cold conditions with temperatures (less than 20 ℃) expected over the northern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over eastern South Sudan and Gambela region of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to hot temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of southern Sudan, central to western …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy (top 10%) rainfall expected over isolated areas of southern Tanzania.