Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
18 - 25 November 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over parts of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Uganda and Kenya.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of north-eastern Kenya.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over most parts of north-eastern Kenya.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over western regions of Burundi and Rwanda, central to western Kenya, central to northern Ethiopia, parts of northern Somalia, western Eritrea and north-western Sudan.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, most parts of South Sudan and parts of southern Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Burundi, western Rwanda, western Tanzania, eastern Kenya and parts of southern Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central South Sudan, south-western Uganda, northern and eastern Tanzania, central to eastern Kenya, southern Ethiopia and most parts of Somalia.
Weekly Forecasts
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Floods update
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in north-eastern Ethiopia and western Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) expected over parts of south-western and southern parts of Sudan and central Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of South Sudan, northern Uganda, southern Sudan, central to …
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20-32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country, with temperatures exceeding 32 ℃ over the north-western coastal regions.
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, western Kenya, and northern Sudan.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of southern Sudan, central Somalia, …
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (> 32℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, and regions along the Red Sea coast.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Somalia, South …
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall expected over a few parts of north-western and southern parts of Somalia.