Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
17 - 24 February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, northern, eastern and southern Tanzania, south-western Kenya, central to western Uganda and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Less than usual rainfall expected in parts of western Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and parts of northern and southern Tanzania.
- Most of the eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, as well as northern and southern Tanzania, are likely to experience flooding incidences in the coming week. During this period, communities in high-risk areas are encouraged to be cautious.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of south-western Tanzania, parts of western Kenya and other isolated regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, southern and northern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Eritrea.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of north-western Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress in “Extreme Caution” category expected over eastern Tanzania, eastern South Sudan and eastern Kenya into southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (>200mm) expected over parts of southern Tanzania.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi, Rwanda, Tanzania and south-western parts of Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Uganda and southern parts of South Sudan.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2342 results
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected over southern Sudan, Djibouti, South Sudan, northern Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya and most parts of Tanzania, Somalia and Eritrea.
- Cold conditions with temperatures less …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall is expected in several parts of the region including north-eastern and southern Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern and south-western Kenya, central Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and northern Somalia.
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over parts of cross-borders regions of Kenya-Ethiopia-South Sudan, and a few regions in northern Somalia, eastern, and southern Ethiopia, north-eastern to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, …
Rainfall forecast
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over a few regions in north-western and south-western parts of the country.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over South Sudan, southern, and eastern Sudan, central to northern Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, south-eastern and northern Ethiopia, and most parts of Tanzania, Somalia, Djibouti, …
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected most parts of the country.