Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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02 - 09 June 2026

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over western and eastern parts for Ethiopia, southern and northern Somalia, parts of southern Sudan and parts of south-eastern Tanzania  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over parts of South Sudan, Uganda and central Ethiopia. 
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in western parts and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, isolated areas across the border of southern Sudan and northern South Sudan, and some parts of South Sudan. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over isolated regions across the highland areas.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Elevated temperatures exceeding 32°C expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, central Tanzania and most of the highlands across the GHA.
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
  • Elevated heat stress Elevated within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern parts of Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, isolated areas of northern-central  and  southern Uganda, western Kenya, western and central parts of Ethiopia and  southern Somalia.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia,  southern Sudan,  and northern and south-eastern parts of  Ethiopia 

Weekly Forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected all over the country.
31 - 7 February 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over southern and eastern parts of Sudan, South Sudan, south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, central to northern Uganda, and most …
27 - 4 February 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over north-central and eastern Ethiopia, north-western Somalia, central Kenya, western Uganda, north-western Tanzania, parts of Burundi and Rwanda, and a few isolated areas in south-eastern South Sudan.
  • Drier …
27 - 4 February 2023 Read More
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures are expected in the southern, central, and eastern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
  • Cooler than usual temperatures are predicted over parts of western and northern Sudan.
27 - 4 February 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over a few places in the north-western coast regions.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over north-western and south-western parts of the country.
27 - 4 February 2023 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over a few places in the south-eastern parts of the country.
  • Dry conditions expected over most northern and western parts of the country.
27 - 4 February 2023 Read More