Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
26 November - 03 December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to south-western regions of Uganda and Rwanda.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over eastern and southern Kenya, part of central to southern Somalia, Tanzania, and most parts of Burundi.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of western and northern regions of GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over areas in north-eastern parts of Kenya, eastern Ethiopia and central to northern parts of Somalia.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over western parts of Rwanda.
Mean temperatures
- More than usual rainfall expected over south-western region Uganda and Rwanda.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern Kenya, southern Somalia, Tanzania, and most parts of Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in most parts of South Sudan, parts of southern Somalia, eastern and coastal parts of Kenya and south-eastern and coastal areas of Tanzania
Total rainfall
- More than usual rainfall expected over south-western region Uganda and Rwanda.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern Kenya, southern Somalia, Tanzania, and most parts of Burundi.
Weekly Forecasts
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Heat Stress
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, most parts of South Sudan and parts of southern Sudan.
Heavy rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over most parts of north-eastern Kenya.
Temperature forecast
- Moderate temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Somalia.
- Mild temperatures (less than 20℃) expected over areas in the northern regions.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over western regions of Burundi and Rwanda, central to western Kenya, central to northern …
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected expected in parts of southern Somalia and coastal areas of Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
- Light rainfall expected over northern and southern areas of the country.