Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
27 May - 03 June 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over western Ethiopia, north-eastern and western South Sudan South-eastern Sudan and isolated areas in western Kenya and southern Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Somalia, Uganda, southern Ethiopia, and parts of southern and northern South Sudan.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of northern Sudan and other few areas across the GHA.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record) expected over few areas in western Ethiopia and South Sudan.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (> 32℃) expected in southern regions of Sudan, coastal Eritrea, north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and coastal areas of northern Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, north-western and coastal Tanzania, northern and eastern Kenya, Somalia, Eritrea, south-eastern Ethiopia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, parts of central and south-western Tanzania, central to western Kenya, south-western Uganda and the Ethiopian highlands.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in Afar region in Ethiopia, southern Sudan and northern coastal Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in most parts of South Sudan, southern areas of Sudan, and western Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, western and coastal Kenya, southern and eastern Tanzania, central to southern Somalia, central Ethiopia, western Eritrea, southern areas of Sudan, and south-eastern parts of South Sudan.
Weekly Forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- High temperatures above 32 ℃ are expected in northern Sudan, coastal Eritrea, parts of north-eastern Ethiopia, parts of Djibouti, and regions in northern coastal Somalia.
- Moderate temperature between 20-32 ℃ are expected over southern Sudan, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in parts of central and northern Ethiopia, parts of southern and south-western Sudan, parts of northern South Sudan, and western Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall ranging from 50-200 mm is expected …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected over few areas of central and northern Ethiopia, southern parts of Sudan and the South Sudan-Sudan border, and adjacent areas.
Moderate rainfall between 50 mm and 200 mm …
Temperature forecast
High daily-mean temperatures above 32 ℃ expected over northern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and northern Somalia, and parts of north-eastern Ethiopia.
Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 and 32℃ are expected over …
Temperature forecast
- High temperatures above 32 oC forecasted in northern Sudan, northern coast of Eritrea into the northeastern Ethiopia.
- Moderate temperatures between 20-32 oC forecasted in southern Sudan, South Sudan, north & southeastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, eastern …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Heavy rainfall above 200mm forecasted in northern Ethiopia, parts of Eritrea, southern parts of Sudan and parts of northern South Sudan
- Moderate rainfall, 50-200mm forecasted in southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, central and …