Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
11 - 18 February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and central to northern regions of Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected parts of western Tanzania.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over parts of central to northern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA, with parts of Sudan, Eritrea, north-western Ethiopia, and northern and western South Sudan being at least 2 degrees C warmer than the average.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan, Djibouti, Eritrea and central to southern regions of Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of north-western Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress in “Extreme Caution” category over eastern Tanzania, eastern South Sudan and eastern Kenya into southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (>200mm) expected over isolated areas of southern Tanzania.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to northern Uganda, southern South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, south-western Kenya, and most parts of coastal regions of Somalia.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2333 results
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall are expected over central and eastern Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of western Kenya.
- Less than usual rainfall are expected over western Tanzania and south-western Burundi.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, and south-western parts of Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over south-western parts of Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, eastern …
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of north-central Sudan, north-western Eritrea, and southern Tanzania.
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
- Dangerous heat stress expected in parts of eastern Tanzania and with elevated levels in most parts of South Sudan, eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected most parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and a few places in southern Tanzania.
- Less than usual rainfall expected most over parts of Tanzania and coastal regions of Kenya.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over central to southern Tanzania, Rwanda, and Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over northern Tanzania, south-western parts of Uganda, south-western Kenya, south-western Ethiopia, southern South Sudan …