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The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience a wetter-than-normal October – December (OND) 2026 season as El Niño strengthens

Kigali, Rwanda, 18 August 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), together with the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of the Greater Horn of Africa and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the October–December (OND) 2026 season, indicating an increased likelihood of wetter-than-normal conditions over the region.
The OND season is a critical rainfall period for the equatorial and southern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, contributing up to 70% of total annual rainfall in parts of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia and up to 40% of total annual rainfall in parts of Rwanda, …
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Can We Talk 3: Are Climate Adaptation policies in Eastern Africa sufficient?

Eastern Africa continues to grapple with the effects of climate change disrupting agricultural systems, depleting water resources, threatening biodiversity, and exacerbating existing socio-economic disparities. Governments and international bodies have developed and implemented climate adaptation policies …
El Niño Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole Watch for the Eastern Africa - short rains season (October-December 2023)

The October-November-December (OND) rainfall season in Eastern Africa is significantly influenced by two phenomena: the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). ENSO is characterised by abnormal warming or cooling of …
UPDATE: Flash Flood Potential Areas
Our extreme rainfall forecast for the next seven days presents a risk of isolated flash floods in north-western South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
Recent weather conditions indicate a strong likelihood of heavy to very heavy …
Flash Flood Potential Areas

Based on the current 7 days extreme rainfall forecast, there is a foreseen potential risk of an isolated flash flood over the northern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Recent weather conditions indicate a …
Regional Focus of the Global Report on Food Crises 2023 – Number of people facing acute food insecurity rose to over 55 million across the IGAD region in 2022

Nairobi, Kenya – 14 June 2023 – The Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) continued to grapple with a severe food crisis in 2022, with over 55 million people facing acute hunger …
Saison des pluies Juin à Septembre : Conditions Sèches Prévues dans les Parties Nord de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique

24 Mai 2023 ; Addis-Abeba, Éthiopie: Le Centre de Prévision et Applications Climatiques de l'IGAD (ICPAC) a annoncé aujourd'hui que la prévision de Juin à Septembre (JJAS) 2023 montre de fortes chances de conditions plus …