Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over eastern and northern parts of the region specifically over much of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, eastern Kenya and Tanzania, and northern parts of Sudan.
- Cooler than normal conditions …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall Forecast May - July 2021
Headline: Wetter than usual conditions are expected over Sudan, Eritrea, western and northern Ethiopia, eastern and north-western South Sudan, and western Kenya.
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are likely over few places in the southern, central and north-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions were expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
Temperature Forecast May - July 2021
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over eastern Tanzania, much of Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, western and northern parts of South Sudan, and small areas in western …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions were expected over the eastern and north-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions were expected over the central and south-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions were expected over northern, central and south-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over south-eastern and north-western areas of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over southern and central …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, southern South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, and Djibouti.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over southern areas of Tanzania, and localized regions in Ethiopia. …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and equatorial parts of the region including most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Kenya, southern Uganda as well as parts of south-western and north-eastern Ethiopia.
- Normal to dry than …