Our seasonal forecasts

Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.

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June - August 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania. 
  • Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan. 
  • Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region. 
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya. 

Seasonal forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than normal conditions expected over eastern and northern parts of the region specifically over much of Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, eastern Kenya and Tanzania, and northern parts of Sudan.
  • Cooler than normal conditions …
MJJ - 2022 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Rainfall Forecast May - July 2021

Headline: Wetter than usual conditions are expected over Sudan, Eritrea, western and northern Ethiopia, eastern and north-western South Sudan, and western Kenya. 

  • Wetter than usual conditions are expected over …
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions are likely over few places in the southern, central and north-western parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions expected over the rest of the country.
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions were expected over northern, central and south-western parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions likely over south-eastern and north-western areas of the country.
  • Cooler than usual conditions expected over southern and central …
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions were expected over the whole country.
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions were expected over the eastern and north-western parts of the country.
  • Usual conditions were expected over the central and south-western parts of the country.
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Temperature Forecast May - July 2021

  • Warmer than usual conditions are expected over eastern Tanzania, much of Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, western and northern parts of South Sudan, and small areas in western …
MJJ - 2021 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
DJF - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
DJF - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
DJF - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over northern Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, southern South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, and Djibouti.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over southern areas of Tanzania, and localized regions in Ethiopia. …
DJF - 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
DJF - 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and equatorial parts of the region including most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Kenya, southern Uganda as well as parts of south-western and north-eastern Ethiopia.  
  • Normal to dry than …
DJF - 2024 Read More