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The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience a wetter-than-normal October – December (OND) 2026 season as El Niño strengthens

Kigali, Rwanda, 18 August 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), together with the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of the Greater Horn of Africa and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the October–December (OND) 2026 season, indicating an increased likelihood of wetter-than-normal conditions over the region.
The OND season is a critical rainfall period for the equatorial and southern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, contributing up to 70% of total annual rainfall in parts of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia and up to 40% of total annual rainfall in parts of Rwanda, …
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How can Artificial Intelligence Help Improve Climate Forecasting and Risk Information?

By author, Herbert Misiani, ICPAC Climate Researcher
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
Climate is chaotic in nature, with many processes and feedbacks which have not been fully understood. Predicting the future states …
Desert Locust Projection December 2020

Projected impact on food and fodder
- Very high risk of significant impacts to both crops and rangelands due to high rainfall received in northern parts of the region which has enabled the swarms to migrate. …
La Niña: forecasted drier than usual season poses risks to crops and livestock in some parts of the region
Nairobi, 11 of November 2020: October to December is a major farming season for Kenya, southern Somalia, southern Ethiopia, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and much of Tanzania. The drier than usual season might impact southern Ethiopia, …
Desert Locust Projection October 2020
Projected impact on food and fodder
- Very high risk of significant impact to both crops and rangelands due to the high rainfall received in the northern parts of the region which has enabled the swarms …