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June to September 2025 Seasonal Forecast: Above-Normal Rainfall Expected Across Most Parts of the Greater Horn of Africa
20th May 2025, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) has released the official seasonal climate outlook for the June to September (JJAS) 2025 rainfall season over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). The forecast indicates a high likelihood of above-normal rainfall across much of the northern parts of the region. The forecast was issued during the 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 70).
JJAS is a critical rainy season for countries in the northern and western parts of the GHA. It contributes to over 50% of annual rainfall over the northern parts …
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Rethinking Public Health in Eastern Africa in light of the COVID-19 Pandemic? Part 2
Lead Author: Dr Esther Onyango, Environmental Futures Research Institute at Griffith University Australia
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
Current health systems are neither built to meet the impacts …
Desert Locust Prediction 16-30 May
Areas with agro-pastoral farming have the highest risk of locust invading crops. Risk of invasion to crop areas is still high due to winds movement in Ethiopia, Eritrea and Sudan.
- Rainfall is in higher than …
Rethinking Climate Change and its Impacts on Health in Eastern Africa in light of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Part 1
Lead Author: Dr Esther Onyango, Environmental Futures Research Institute at Griffith University, Australia
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
COVID-19 is a stark reminder of the size of the human ecological footprint …
Desert Locust Prediction 1-15 May
Highest risk areas for Desert Locust invasion based on forecasted climate conditions and existing vegetation suitable for an invasion are outlined below:
- The country with most suitable climatic and ecological conditions for invasion is South …
Flood Alert - 10 Days Forecast 21 to 30 April 2020
Flood Alert: Shebele River
Communities along the Shebele River in Mustahil (Ethiopia) and Beletwein (Somalia) and downstream towns are advised to take precautions due to the high level of flood risk in the coming two …
Desert Locust Prediction 16-30 April
The most infested areas are rangelands of Kenya and Ethiopia.
- Wind direction, which greatly determine swarm movement, forecasted to be generally southerly (blowing from south to north) in Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Sudan and …