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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa
Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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October to December 2019 Extreme Floods in Eastern Africa, Climate Variability or Change?
By Dr Linda Ogallo
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
Many parts of the tropical Eastern Africa have two distinct rainfall seasons, centred around March-May (MAM) and October-December (OND) months. The March-May and …
Improved seasonal forecast for Eastern Africa
A big change has taken place “back stage” in the way the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) makes its seasonal forecasts since May 2019. The change improves the quality and usefulness of the …
International day for disaster reduction: Three big lessons from tackling disaster and climate information issues in East Africa
By ZIRRA BANU, World Bank
Taji, a young boy in Nairobi, Kenya, sits outside his flooded classroom. School’s out, but not by choice. Cycles of floods and droughts have hit major African cities like …