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Showing 147 results
Report
Report
447 1922
Technical statement from the 65th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF65) 22 August 2023; Nairobi, Kenya

October to December (OND) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where OND contributes 20-70% of the annual total rainfall. Analysis of global climate model …

22 Aug 2023 Read More
Publication
Publication
0 15
Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming

This paper presents an analysis of future precipitation patterns over the Lake Victoria Basin, East Africa, using bias-corrected CMIP6 model projections.

A mean increase of about 5% in mean annual (ANN) and seasonal [March–May (MAM), …

15 Jun 2023 Read More
Publication
Publication
0 17
A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands

The Horn of Africa drylands (HAD) are among the most vulnerable regions to hydroclimatic extremes.

The two rainfall seasons—long and short rains—exhibit high intraseasonal and interannual variability. Accurately simulating the long and short rains has …

12 Jun 2023 Read More
Report
Report
271 1215
Summary for Decision Makers, June to September 2023 Season

Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors: 

  • Disaster Risk Management
  • Agriculture and Food Security
  • Water and Energy

How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts are tailored …

05 Jun 2023 Read More
Report
Report
296 898
Statement from the 64th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF64)

June to September (JJAS) is an important rainy season, especially in the northern regions of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where it contributes to more than 50% of the annual rainfall. The forecast indicates …

24 May 2023 Read More
Report
Report
12 64
Communiqué du 64ème Forum de Prévision Climatique de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHACOF 64), 22-24 Mai 2023 ; Addis Abeba, Éthiopie

La période de Juin à Septembre (JJAS) est une saison des pluies importante, en particulier dans les régions du nord de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHA), où elle contribue à plus de 50 % …

24 May 2023 Read More
Publication
Publication
0 19
Changes and variability in rainfall onset, cessation, and length of rainy season in the IGAD region of Eastern Africa

Rainfall onset dates (ROD), rainfall cessation dates (RCD), and length of the rainy season (LRS) are crucial for crop production and food security in Eastern Africa, yet they are scantily documented. This paper seeks to …

24 Mar 2023 Read More
Report
Report
346 1229
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2023 Season

Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors: 

  • Disaster Risk Management
  • Agriculture and Food Security
  • Livestock
  • Water and Energy
  • Health

How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts …

08 Mar 2023 Read More
Publication
Publication
0 11
Representation of land–atmosphere coupling processes over Africa in coupled model intercomparison project Phase 6

Climate models are useful tools for monthly to decadal predictions of the evolution of climate.

This study assesses how CMIP6 models represent soil moisture-latent heat regimes and coupling processes between the land and atmosphere.

Metrics …

02 Mar 2023 Read More