Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Wetter-than-normal conditions expected over the eastern Horn, including Somalia, south-eastern and part of western Ethiopia, eastern to coastal Kenya and over few places in South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Rwanda and northern Burundi.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and Rwanda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and equatorial parts of the region including most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Kenya, southern Uganda as well as parts of south-western and north-eastern Ethiopia.
- Normal to dry than …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region, with the highest probabilities over part of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter-than-usual conditions expected over parts of the central to southern areas of the country.
- The northern part of the country is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region..
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over eastern Kenya, extending to southern areas of Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over southern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region.
- The northern sector is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, northern and south-western Uganda, and Rwanda.