Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter-than-usual conditions expected over parts of the central to southern areas of the country.
- The northern part of the country is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region..
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over eastern Kenya, extending to southern areas of Somalia.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region, with the highest probabilities over part of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual rainfall expected over southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures expected over southern South Sudan, northern and south-western Uganda, and Rwanda.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region.
- The northern sector is generally dry during this season.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over southern parts of the country.