Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan.
- Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual rainfall expected over southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, Ethiopia, South Sudan, eastern and western Tanzania, southern Burundi, eastern Sudan, and Djibouti.
- Usual temperature conditions are likely over central Tanzania, the Karamoja …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of Ethiopia, western and southern Kenya, areas in central to northern Somalia, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over northern and …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are likely over southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over south-eastern and north-western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over few areas.
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual temperatures are likely to be recorded over northern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central and north-western areas of the country.
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of central and western parts of the country. …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperature conditions likely to be recorded over Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, northern and north-western South Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern and western Tanzania.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be recorded all over the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions likely to be recorded over Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, and much of Ethiopia.
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over much of south-eastern Ethiopia, central and western South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be experienced over part of southern, much of northern, and western parts of the country.
- Average temperature conditions likely to be recorded over a small area in the south, …
Onset anomalies
- A delayed onset is expected in the east, including southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and eastern Tanzania.
Probability Onset
- A delayed onset is expected in the east, including southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and eastern Tanzania.
- Normal to early onset is forecasted for the western region, especially in northern Uganda, western Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda, and …