Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Wetter-than-normal conditions expected over the eastern Horn, including Somalia, south-eastern and part of western Ethiopia, eastern to coastal Kenya and over few places in South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Rwanda and northern Burundi.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Ethiopia, western Kenya, northern Tanzania, and Rwanda.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the equatorial and southern parts of the region.
- The northern sector is generally dry during this season.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over few areas.
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are expected over most parts of Ethiopia, western and southern Kenya, areas in central to northern Somalia, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over northern and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over south-eastern and north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the country.
- Usual temperatures are likely to be recorded over northern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are likely over central and northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are likely over southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, Ethiopia, South Sudan, eastern and western Tanzania, southern Burundi, eastern Sudan, and Djibouti.
- Usual temperature conditions are likely over central Tanzania, the Karamoja …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions likely to be recorded over Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, and much of Ethiopia.
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over much of south-eastern Ethiopia, central and western South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperature conditions likely to be recorded over Kenya, Somalia, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Sudan, northern and north-western South Sudan, western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and eastern and western Tanzania.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over north-eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be recorded all over the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central and north-western areas of the country.
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of central and western parts of the country. …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions likely to be experienced over part of southern, much of northern, and western parts of the country.
- Average temperature conditions likely to be recorded over a small area in the south, …
Rainfall forecast
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over part of north-eastern areas of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, …