Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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22-29 September 2020

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall
  • Very heavy rainfall (top 5% on record) is expected in parts of western Ethiopia, north-eastern Somalia, some pocket areas of north-western South Sudan, northern Uganda, and western Kenya.
  • Heavy rainfall (top 10% on record) expected in central Sudan, localized areas of north-western and south-western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, in a few areas of northern Uganda, and western Kenya.
Temperature forecast
  • High temperatures above 32o C are expected in northern and central Sudan, parts of north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and regions in north-western coast of Somalia.
  • Moderate temperatures between 20-32o C are expected over southern, western and eastern Sudan; South Sudan, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, much of Kenya, much of Uganda, eastern parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and much of Tanzania.
  • Low temperatures below 20o C are expected over much of central, western, northern and few parts of eastern Ethiopia; parts of central to western Kenya, parts of southern Uganda, western parts of Rwanda and Burundi, and parts of north-eastern and south-western Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast
  • Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in parts of western Ethiopia and isolated areas in north-western South Sudan and western Kenya.
  • Moderate rainfall, 50-200 mm expected in southern parts of Sudan, much of South Sudan, western and central Ethiopia, parts of north-eastern Somalia, much of Uganda, central and western Kenya, and most parts of Rwanda and Burundi.
  • Light rainfall less than 50 mm is expected in central parts of Sudan, western Eritrea; parts of northern, southern and eastern Ethiopia; coastal parts of Djibouti, parts of south-eastern South Sudan, northern and Southern Somalia, north-western and south-eastern Kenya, few areas of north-eastern and western Uganda, and parts of north-western and eastern coast of Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions are expected in parts of western, southern and central Tanzania; northern and north-eastern Kenya, central Somalia, parts of south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, eastern parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, and northern Sudan.

Weekly Forecasts

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Showing 31 results
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures between 20-280C expected over much of the country.
  • Low temperatures below 200C expected over small area in southern part of Eastern Equatoria state.
22 - 29 September 2020 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Very heavy rainfall (top 5% on record) is expected in north-eastern parts of the country.

Heavy rainfall (top 10% on record) is expected in north-eastern and north-western parts of the country.

22 - 29 September 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected over small areas in northern Bahr el Ghazal and western Equatoria state.
  • Moderate rainfall between 50 -200 mm expected over much of the country.
  • Light rainfall less than 50 …
22 - 29 September 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in a few places in western and central Ethiopia.
  • Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm is expected in south-western Sudan, north-western to south-western South Sudan, western and parts of central …
15 - 22 September 2020 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall
  • Very heavy rainfall (top 5% on record) is expected in parts of north-eastern Somalia, and few places in central Ethiopia.
  • Heavy rainfall (top 10% on record) is expected in southern parts of Sudan, and parts …
15 - 22 September 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High daily-mean temperatures above 32oC are expected in northern Sudan, coastal Eritrea, parts of north-eastern Ethiopia, parts of Djibouti and regions in north-western coast of Somalia.
  • Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-32oC …
15 - 22 September 2020 Read More