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The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience a wetter-than-normal October – December (OND) 2026 season as El Niño strengthens

Kigali, Rwanda, 18 August 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), together with the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of the Greater Horn of Africa and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the October–December (OND) 2026 season, indicating an increased likelihood of wetter-than-normal conditions over the region.
The OND season is a critical rainfall period for the equatorial and southern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, contributing up to 70% of total annual rainfall in parts of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia and up to 40% of total annual rainfall in parts of Rwanda, …
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June to September rainfall season: dry conditions expected in the northern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa

IGAD’S Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) today announced that the June to September (JJAS) 2023 forecast shows high chances of drier than usual conditions across the northern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa …
ICPAC becomes a regional “My Climate Risk Hub”

IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) is delighted to join “My Climate Risk Hub”, an initiative of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) under the joint sponsorship of the World Meteorological Organization …
Can We Talk 2: The importance of hydrological services and forecasting for decision -making

The Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) in East Africa comprise 70% of the region and are characterized by high temperatures, arid and semi-arid environments, and low rainfall of about 600 millimetres annually. This makes it …
Can We Talk 1: Addressing the Burden of Climate Change in Eastern Africa

Communities in Eastern Africa are already experiencing severe impacts of climate change, and the effects are wide-ranging and significant. Some impacts include droughts causing crop failures, water scarcity, loss of biodiversity, extreme weather events like …
Boosting Climate storylines through machine learning and last-mile co-production

Background
Based on the recently concluded 63rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 63), Eastern Africa is likely to be drier than normal during the March-May 2023 rainfall season. If …
Strengthening Adaptation for Small-scale Farmers in Eastern Africa

Climate extremes in the Horn of Africa continue to increase, both in frequency and severity, underlying the urgency to build climate resilience in the region. The sixth consecutive failed rainy season is looming, …