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Stakeholder Consultations: Impact Based Forecast Development
The importance of an inclusive, gender-transformative approach to implementing IBF emerged as a key…
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2025 Season
Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the October-December 2025 …
GHACOF 70 report
The 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF70) was held from 19th to 20th May 202…
Technical Statement from the 71st Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 71)
The 71st Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF71) was held in Nairobi from August 25…
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Projected climate over the Greater Horn of Africa under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
We analyze the potential effect of global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 ◦C and 2 ◦C above pre-industrial levels (1861−1890) on mean temperature and precipitation as well as intra-seasonal precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn …
Future changes in rainfall associated with ENSO, IOD and changes in the mean state over Eastern Africa
This study examines the projected changes in the characteristics of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in terms of mean state, intensity and frequency, and associated rainfall anomalies over eastern …
Greater Horn of Africa Climate and Food Security Atlas
The Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate-related risks, appearing through highly variable and erratic rainfall together with rising temperatures, droughts and floods that have increased in frequency …
Magnitudes of Climate Variability and Changes over the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands of Kenya between 1961 and 2013 Period
The magnitude and trend of temperature and rainfall extremes as indicators of climate variability and change were investigated in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) of Kenya using in-situ measurements and gridded climate proxy datasets, …
Characterization of the Sahelian-Sudan rainfall based on observations and regional climate models
The African Sahel region is known to be highly vulnerable to climate variability and change. We analyze rainfall in the Sahelian Sudan in terms of distribution of rain-days and amounts, and examine whether regional climate …
Adapting agriculture to climate change: suitability of banana crop production to future climate change over Uganda
The aim of this study was to determine suitability zones of future banana growth under a changing climate to guide the design of future adaptation options in the banana sub-sector of Uganda. The study used …
Temperature and heat in informal settlements in Nairobi
Nairobi, Kenya exhibits a wide variety of micro-climates and heterogeneous surfaces. Paved roads and high-rise buildings interspersed with low vegetation typify the central business district, while large neighborhoods of informal settlements or “slums” are characterized …
Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR
Statistically downscaled forecasts of October–December (OND) rainfall are evaluated over East Africa from two general circulation model (GCM) seasonal prediction systems. The method uses canonical correlation analysis to relate variability in predicted large-scale rainfall (characterizing, …
Changes in Rainfall and Surface Temperature Over Lower Jubba, Somalia
Climate is changing at an alarming rate threatening the critical pillars for environmental, social and economic development. Signals of climate change seems to be quite real for many African communities. Somalia, is one the countries …