Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Circulation Patterns Associated with Current and Future Rainfall over Ethiopia and South Sudan from a Convection-Permitting Model
This is the first African-lead analysis of the high resolution climate change simulations which allow convection to develop explicitly as opposed to using approximation methods. The research compares this model to a regional climate model …
Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains
There is a strong association between canonical El Niño and a wet Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) short rains. However, the link with Modoki El Niño events appears to be significantly weaker. In order to …
Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action
Reliable information on the likelihood of drought is of crucial importance in agricultural planning and humanitarian decision-making. Acting based upon probabilistic forecasts of drought, rather than responding to prevailing drought conditions, has the potential to …
Policy Brief Hiraan Region Hirshabelle
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Policy Brief Hirshabelle (Hiraan Region)
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Advisories OND 2020 Bari and Nugaal Region Puntland
Advisories for Bari and Nugaal Region, Puntland, October-November-December Season, 2020
Advisories OND 2020, Galguduud Region, Galmudug
Advisories for Galguduud Region, Galmudug, October-November-December Season, 2020
Advisories OND 2020, Hiraan Region, Hirshabelle
Advisories for Hiraan Region, Hirshabelle, October-November-December Season, 2020
Report on Historical Climate Baseline Statistics for RLACC Sites in Somaliland, Puntland, Galmudug and Hirshabelle
This project report provides a summary of the Climate Baseline Statistics for Somaliland, Puntland, Galmudug and Hirshabelle as derived from a workshop on area specific analysis of climate data. The analysis generated and mapped location-specific …