Featured Publications
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
State of the Climate in Eastern Africa 2025
The State of Climate 2025 report is structured to deliver a comprehensive assessment of climate con…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in the Northern Parts of Eastern Africa- August 2026 Update
Rainfall deficits have persisted across the northern sector of the Eastern Africa region from May t…
Climate Vulnerability Assessment for the Agriculture Sector in Machakos and Makueni Counties, Kenya
This Climate Vulnerability Assessment examines the agricultural sector’s exposure and sensitivity t…
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Policy Brief Galguduud Region, Galmudug
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Advisories OND 2020, Awdal Region, Somaliland
Advisories for the Awdal Region, Somaliland during the October-November-December Season, 2020,
Vulnerability of Kenya’s Water Towers to Future Climate Change: An Assessment to Inform Decision Making in Watershed Management
Recent trends show that in the coming decades, Kenya’s natural resources will continue to face significant pressure due to both anthropogenic and natural stressors, and this will have greater negative impacts on socio-economic development including …
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2020
October to December is an important rainfall season for Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, Tanzania, Uganda, and southeastern Ethiopia. A drier than usual season is expected in most parts of the region, including Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, …
Agriculture Seasonal Monitoring and Early Warning in Eastern Africa
Approximately 60% of the Horn of Africa region is under Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs). Close to 80% of the total population dependent on agriculture which is mainly subsistence and rain-fed. However, rainfall is uneven, …
Climate change and locust outbreak in East Africa
From the end of 2019 to early 2020, a desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) outbreak across several East African countries posed a serious risk to food security and livelihoods. A second wave is currently active and …
State of the Climate in Africa 2019
Temperatures in Africa have been rising in recent decades at a rate comparable to that of most other continents and thus somewhat faster than global mean surface temperature, which incorporates a large ocean component. The …
Summary for Decision Makers, June to September 2020
June to September is an important season for Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and Uganda. A wetter than usual season is forecasted for western and central Sudan, southwestern Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, western Kenya, …
Heavy precipitation events over East Africa in a changing climate: results from CORDEX RCMs
The study assesses the performance of 24 model runs from five Coordinated Regional climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) regional climate models (RCMs) in simulating East Africa’s spatio-temporal precipitation characteristics using a set of eight descriptors: consecutive …