Featured Publications
THE JUBA DECLARATION ON INSTITUTIONALISATION OF ANTICIPATORY ACTION, 2026
The First South Sudan National Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Action
14–16 September 2026, Juba, …
The 6th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF6)
From 8th to 10th September, Lodwar, Kenya, brought together climate experts, government leaders, pa…
Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increa…
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
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In-Country Technical Training on Hazard Assessment Using Earth Observation and GIS for Ethiopia
- Module 1: Introduction to Geospatial Information System (GIS)
- Module 2: Vegetation and Land Cover/Land Use Monitoring
- Module 3: Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
Examining the potential contributions of extreme “Western V” sea surface temperatures to the 2017 March–June East African drought
During March–June (MAMJ) 2017 East Africa (EA; 35°–50°E, 12°S–9°N) experienced an extensive drought across Tanzania, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia that contributed to extreme food insecurity (Funk et al. 2018, hereafter F18) approaching near-famine conditions (FEWSNET …
In-Country Technical Training on Hazard Assessment Using Earth Observation and GIS for South Sudan
- Module 1: Introduction to Geospatial Information System (GIS)
- Module 2: Vegetation and Land Cover/Land Use Monitoring
- Module 3: Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
In-Country Technical Training on Hazard Assessment Using Earth Observation and GIS for Somalia
- Module 1: Introduction to Geospatial Information System (GIS)
- Module 2: Vegetation and Land Cover/Land Use Monitoring
- Module 3: Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
In-Country Technical Training on Hazard Assessment Using Earth Observation and GIS for Sudan
- Module 1: Introduction to Geospatial Information System (GIS)
- Module 2: Vegetation and Land Cover/Land Use Monitoring
- Module 3: Hazard, Vulnerability and Risk Assessment
Evaluation of rainfall simulations over Uganda in CORDEX regional climate models
The study evaluates the ability of ten regional climate models (RCMs) to simulate the present-day rainfall over Uganda within the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) for the period 1990–2008. The models’ ability to reproduce the …
Projected climate over the Greater Horn of Africa under 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming
We analyze the potential effect of global warming levels (GWLs) of 1.5 ◦C and 2 ◦C above pre-industrial levels (1861−1890) on mean temperature and precipitation as well as intra-seasonal precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn …
Future changes in rainfall associated with ENSO, IOD and changes in the mean state over Eastern Africa
This study examines the projected changes in the characteristics of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in terms of mean state, intensity and frequency, and associated rainfall anomalies over eastern …
Greater Horn of Africa Climate and Food Security Atlas
The Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate-related risks, appearing through highly variable and erratic rainfall together with rising temperatures, droughts and floods that have increased in frequency …