Featured Publications
THE JUBA DECLARATION ON INSTITUTIONALISATION OF ANTICIPATORY ACTION, 2026
The First South Sudan National Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Action
14–16 September 2026, Juba, …
The 6th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF6)
From 8th to 10th September, Lodwar, Kenya, brought together climate experts, government leaders, pa…
Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increa…
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
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Empirical Relationships between Banana Yields and Climate Variability over Uganda
Variations in weather and climate have a significant impact on rain-fed banana yields in East Africa. This study examined empirical linkages between banana yields and variations in rainfall and temperature over Uganda for the historical …
Teleconnection responses in multi-GCM driven CORDEX RCMs over Eastern Africa
The ability of climate models to simulate atmospheric teleconnections provides an important basis for the use and analysis of climate change projections. This study examines the ability of COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment models, with …
Extreme Rainfall Assessment using Global Climate Models over the Greater Horn of Africa
The October to December (OND) is a major rainfall season over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) with strong El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) signals and high rainfall variabil- ity leading to drought and floods. …
Oceanic and atmospheric linkages with short rainfall season intraseasonal statistics over Equatorial Eastern Africa and their predictive potential
Despite earlier studies over various parts of the world including equatorial Eastern Africa (EEA) showing that intraseasonal statistics of wet and dry spells have spatially coherent signals and thus greater predictability potential, no attempts have …
Seasonal rainfall forecasting using the Multi-Model Ensemble Technique over the Greater Horn of Africa
This study evaluated the skill of forecasting seasonal rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) using Ensemble Model Technique from a cluster of four General Circulation Climate Models (GCMs) from Global Producing Centers (GPCs). …
Data Rescue Activities at ICPAC
The implementation plan for the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) includes large scale Data Rescue as its priority area through WMO and Regional Climate Center (RCCs) like IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Center (ICPAC), …
Trend analysis of climate change and its impacts on crop productivity in the lower Tana river basin, Kenya
Impacts of Climate change and the associated vulnerabilities have increasingly become significant environmental issues of concern across the globe. Climate change is one of the greatest impediments to the realization of the first Millennium Development …
Potential impacts of climate and environmental change 2 on the stored water of Lake Victoria Basin and 3 economic implications
The changing climatic patterns and increasing human population within the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB), together with overexploitation of water for economic activities call for assessment of water management for the entire basin. This study focused …
Forecasting droughts in East Africa
The humanitarian crisis caused by the recent droughts (2008–2009 and 2010–2011) in the East African region have illustrated that the ability to make accurate drought predictions with adequate lead time is essential. The use of …