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El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Characterization of the Sahelian-Sudan rainfall based on observations and regional climate models
The African Sahel region is known to be highly vulnerable to climate variability and change. We analyze rainfall in the Sahelian Sudan in terms of distribution of rain-days and amounts, and examine whether regional climate …
Adapting agriculture to climate change: suitability of banana crop production to future climate change over Uganda
The aim of this study was to determine suitability zones of future banana growth under a changing climate to guide the design of future adaptation options in the banana sub-sector of Uganda. The study used …
Temperature and heat in informal settlements in Nairobi
Nairobi, Kenya exhibits a wide variety of micro-climates and heterogeneous surfaces. Paved roads and high-rise buildings interspersed with low vegetation typify the central business district, while large neighborhoods of informal settlements or “slums” are characterized …
Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR
Statistically downscaled forecasts of October–December (OND) rainfall are evaluated over East Africa from two general circulation model (GCM) seasonal prediction systems. The method uses canonical correlation analysis to relate variability in predicted large-scale rainfall (characterizing, …
Changes in Rainfall and Surface Temperature Over Lower Jubba, Somalia
Climate is changing at an alarming rate threatening the critical pillars for environmental, social and economic development. Signals of climate change seems to be quite real for many African communities. Somalia, is one the countries …
Tools and Procedures for Seasonal Downscaling of Climate Forecasts for Use by Farmers Over the Greater Horn of Africa: A Case Study for Western Kenya
Seasonal climate outlooks have become a necessary input to agricultural planning and execution of all farming activities as a form of adaptation to climate change and variability. Extended climate forecasts of 3–4 months pose a …
Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of the June-August Seasonal Rainfall and Temperature over South Sudan
Climate extremes including drought, floods, and high/low temperatures are recurrent in South Sudan and they are associated with widespread socio-economic miseries. This study aims at enhancing our understanding of past and present characteristics of climate …
Investigating the Homogeneity of Monthly Rainfall Records in Kenya
Homogenization of climate data is of major importance because non-climatic factors make available data unrepresentative of the actual climate variation, and thus the conclusions of climatic and hydrological studies are potentially biased. A great deal …
Empirical Relationships between Banana Yields and Climate Variability over Uganda
Variations in weather and climate have a significant impact on rain-fed banana yields in East Africa. This study examined empirical linkages between banana yields and variations in rainfall and temperature over Uganda for the historical …