Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Teleconnection responses in multi-GCM driven CORDEX RCMs over Eastern Africa
The ability of climate models to simulate atmospheric teleconnections provides an important basis for the use and analysis of climate change projections. This study examines the ability of COordinated Regional climate Downscaling EXperiment models, with …
Extreme Rainfall Assessment using Global Climate Models over the Greater Horn of Africa
The October to December (OND) is a major rainfall season over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) with strong El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO) signals and high rainfall variabil- ity leading to drought and floods. …
Oceanic and atmospheric linkages with short rainfall season intraseasonal statistics over Equatorial Eastern Africa and their predictive potential
Despite earlier studies over various parts of the world including equatorial Eastern Africa (EEA) showing that intraseasonal statistics of wet and dry spells have spatially coherent signals and thus greater predictability potential, no attempts have …
Seasonal rainfall forecasting using the Multi-Model Ensemble Technique over the Greater Horn of Africa
This study evaluated the skill of forecasting seasonal rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) using Ensemble Model Technique from a cluster of four General Circulation Climate Models (GCMs) from Global Producing Centers (GPCs). …
Data Rescue Activities at ICPAC
The implementation plan for the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) includes large scale Data Rescue as its priority area through WMO and Regional Climate Center (RCCs) like IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Center (ICPAC), …
Trend analysis of climate change and its impacts on crop productivity in the lower Tana river basin, Kenya
Impacts of Climate change and the associated vulnerabilities have increasingly become significant environmental issues of concern across the globe. Climate change is one of the greatest impediments to the realization of the first Millennium Development …
Potential impacts of climate and environmental change 2 on the stored water of Lake Victoria Basin and 3 economic implications
The changing climatic patterns and increasing human population within the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB), together with overexploitation of water for economic activities call for assessment of water management for the entire basin. This study focused …
Forecasting droughts in East Africa
The humanitarian crisis caused by the recent droughts (2008–2009 and 2010–2011) in the East African region have illustrated that the ability to make accurate drought predictions with adequate lead time is essential. The use of …
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa region from 1961 to 2010
Recent special reports on climate extremes have shown evidences of changes in the patterns of climate extremes at global, regional and local scales. Understanding the characteristics of climate extremes at regional and local levels is …