Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating East African Rainfall
This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, …
Quality control procedures at ICPAC
It is widely known that raw digital climate data are subject to a wide range of errors, which can be introduced along the chain of collecting, digitizing, processing, transferring, storing and transmitting the data (Anonymous …
Spatial coherence and potential predictability assessment of intraseasonal statistics of wet and dry spells over Equatorial Eastern Africa
The aim of this study was to derive components of the intraseasonal rainfall variations from the daily rainfall in the Equatorial Eastern Africa region and assess their spatial coherence, a pointer to their potential predictability. …
Components of rainy seasons’ variability in Equatorial East Africa: onset, cessation, rainfall frequency and intensity
The inter-annual and spatial variability of different rainfall variables is analysed over Equatorial East Africa (Kenya and northeastern Tanzania). At the station level, three variables are considered: the total precipitation amount (P), the number of …
Falling Lake Victoria water levels: Is climate a contributing factor?
Recently, and perhaps most threatening, Lake Victoria water level has been receding at an alarming rate. A recent study suggested the possibility of the expanded hydroelectric power station in Uganda. However, since the lake receives …
Falling Lake Victoria water levels: Is climate a contributing factor?
Recently, and perhaps most threatening, Lake Victoria water level has been receding at an alarming rate. A recent study suggested the possibility of the expanded hydroelectric power station in Uganda. However, since the lake receives …