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Dual climate risks Emerging: Extremely Dry Conditions Expected Across Northern Greater Horn of Africa During July–September, Followed by Intensely Wet October–December Rains over Equatorial and Southern parts of the Region
The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience two contrasting climate conditions during the …
Summary for Decision Makers - June to September 2026 Season
The June to September (JJAS) 2026 rainfall outlook indicates a high likelihood of below-normal rain…
Technical Statement from the 73rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 73)
The June to September (JJAS) 2026 rainfall outlook indicates a high likelihood of below-normal rain…
Towards Anticipatory Disaster Risk Financing and Index Insurance Mechanisms for Resilience Building in Eastern Africa
Eastern Africa faces recurrent droughts, floods, and heat extremes that interact with fragility, co…
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Statement from the 64th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF64)
June to September (JJAS) is an important rainy season, especially in the northern regions of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where it contributes to more than 50% of the annual rainfall. The forecast indicates …
Communiqué du 64ème Forum de Prévision Climatique de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHACOF 64), 22-24 Mai 2023 ; Addis Abeba, Éthiopie
La période de Juin à Septembre (JJAS) est une saison des pluies importante, en particulier dans les régions du nord de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHA), où elle contribue à plus de 50 % …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Livestock
- Water and Energy
- Health
How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts …
Representation of land–atmosphere coupling processes over Africa in coupled model intercomparison project Phase 6
Climate models are useful tools for monthly to decadal predictions of the evolution of climate.
This study assesses how CMIP6 models represent soil moisture-latent heat regimes and coupling processes between the land and atmosphere.
Metrics …
Technical Statement from the 63rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF63)
March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where MAM rainfall contributes up to 60% of the total annual rainfall. Analysis of …
IGAD Institutional and Operational Framework for Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Early Action
Disasters are a yearly challenge for Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, and like all other African regions, the scale and impact of disasters is increasing, especially those associated with climate and weather-related …
The African Union Commission (AUC) Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Framework (2022)
Rising disasters require agile and inter-operational early warning systems. In just four years (2015-2018), Africa recorded more than seven hundred (700) disaster events which affected over eighty (80) million people either directly or indirectly. These …
IGAD Regional Framework for Integrating Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
Majority of the disasters occurring in the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) region are originating from hydro meteorological hazards. They include drought, floods, landslides, windstorms, lightening, extreme temperatures and wildfires among others. Such disasters are …
Regional Strategy and Action Plan for Mainstreaming Gender in Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
Disasters do not affect everyone in the same way – instead this depends on levels of vulnerability, which vary with various socially-constructed facets of identity, such as gender. In a gender-unequal world, women and girls …