Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Technical Statement from the 66th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF66)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the March to May 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates a higher probability of wetter-than-normal conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, the …
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Every year Africa is hit by extreme floods which, combined with high levels of vulnerability and increasing population exposure, often result in humanitarian crises and population displacement. Impact-based forecasting and early warning for natural hazards …
Development of a data model and capacity development for human mobility due to slow-onset events in the IGAD Region
Human mobility can be categorized in a variety of ways. For example, mobility flows can be separated in terms of the distance of the movement, the length of time spent moving, the reasons for the …
Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts
Droughts are more and more often a limiting factor in agricultural production and can have severe negative effects on food security in vulnerable countries. Global agriculture early warning systems monitor agriculture in near real-time by …
Livelihoods, Resilience & Migration In the Context of Slow Onset Climate Change in the IGAD Region
Overall, participants in this study understood and attributed worsening climatic conditions to:
- Ordinary cyclicality – a bad year must be followed by a good one
- Supernatural forces
- Degradations brought to the land.
However, for some …
Comparative report on flood displacement mitigation policies
In the IGAD region, floods have become increasingly frequent and intense due to climate variability and change, resulting in 10.7 million new displacements between 2008 and 2022, related to 291 flood disasters reported (IDMC Database, …
Evaluation of CMIP6 historical simulations over IGAD region of Eastern Africa
The Accuracy of model simulations is critical for climate change and its socio-economic impact. This study evaluated23 Global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The main objective was to …
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and nutrition
- Livestock
How should I use seasonal forecasts? …
New Functionalities and Regional/National Use Cases of the Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Platform
The Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Decision Support System was launched operationally in 2017 to provide timely early warning information on agricultural production based on Earth observation and agro-climatic data in an open and …