Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increased likelihood of wetter-than-normal conditions in the Greater Horn of Africa, with a 90% chance of enhanced rainfall over southern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and north-eastern Kenya. The forecast also indicates a high chance of seasonal rainfall exceeding 400 mm in parts of central to southern Somalia, central parts of Kenya, the Lake Victoria Basin region, Burundi, western Rwanda and western Tanzania.
Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the OND 2026 season for the following sectors:
- Agriculture
- Disaster Risk Management
- Health
- Livestock
- Conflict, Peace and Security
- Water
- Energy
- Blue Economy
This seasonal forecast should be used in conjunction with weekly and monthly forecasts as well as climate monitoring products issued by ICPAC and National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) across the region.
