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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa
Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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From Forests to Future: The Power of Native Reforestation in Supporting Kenya’s Local Climate
According to recent data on land cover and land use change, it is evident that Kenya has experienced a considerable decline in tree cover, with a loss of 360,824 hectares, between 2001 to 2020 (Butler, …
Pursuing Sustainable Development Goal 15: Progress and Challenges in Protecting Life on Land
© Logan Abassi/United Nations via Creative Commons
The world recognizes the importance of protecting and restoring terrestrial ecosystems, which are vital for human well-being, biodiversity conservation, and addressing climate change. The Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) …
Can We Talk 3: Are Climate Adaptation policies in Eastern Africa sufficient?
Eastern Africa continues to grapple with the effects of climate change disrupting agricultural systems, depleting water resources, threatening biodiversity, and exacerbating existing socio-economic disparities. Governments and international bodies have developed and implemented climate adaptation policies …
El Niño Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole Watch for the Eastern Africa - short rains season (October-December 2023)
The October-November-December (OND) rainfall season in Eastern Africa is significantly influenced by two phenomena: the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). ENSO is characterised by abnormal warming or cooling of …
UPDATE: Flash Flood Potential Areas
Our extreme rainfall forecast for the next seven days presents a risk of isolated flash floods in north-western South Sudan and western Ethiopia.
Recent weather conditions indicate a strong likelihood of heavy to very heavy …
Flash Flood Potential Areas
Based on the current 7 days extreme rainfall forecast, there is a foreseen potential risk of an isolated flash flood over the northern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Recent weather conditions indicate a …