Featured Publications
THE JUBA DECLARATION ON INSTITUTIONALISATION OF ANTICIPATORY ACTION, 2026
The First South Sudan National Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Action
14–16 September 2026, Juba, …
The 6th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF6)
From 8th to 10th September, Lodwar, Kenya, brought together climate experts, government leaders, pa…
Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increa…
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
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Communiqué du 64ème Forum de Prévision Climatique de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHACOF 64), 22-24 Mai 2023 ; Addis Abeba, Éthiopie
La période de Juin à Septembre (JJAS) est une saison des pluies importante, en particulier dans les régions du nord de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHA), où elle contribue à plus de 50 % …
Changes and variability in rainfall onset, cessation, and length of rainy season in the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Rainfall onset dates (ROD), rainfall cessation dates (RCD), and length of the rainy season (LRS) are crucial for crop production and food security in Eastern Africa, yet they are scantily documented. This paper seeks to …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Livestock
- Water and Energy
- Health
How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts …
Representation of land–atmosphere coupling processes over Africa in coupled model intercomparison project Phase 6
Climate models are useful tools for monthly to decadal predictions of the evolution of climate.
This study assesses how CMIP6 models represent soil moisture-latent heat regimes and coupling processes between the land and atmosphere.
Metrics …
Technical Statement from the 63rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF63)
March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where MAM rainfall contributes up to 60% of the total annual rainfall. Analysis of …
IGAD Regional Strategy For Disaster Risk Management (2019-2030)
IGAD has developed a regional strategy for DRM, aligned to the Sendai Framework for DRR and the continental Programme of Action (PoA) for implementation of DRR in Africa through a consultative process. The regional strategy, …
IGAD Institutional and Operational Framework for Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Early Action
Disasters are a yearly challenge for Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, and like all other African regions, the scale and impact of disasters is increasing, especially those associated with climate and weather-related …
The African Union Commission (AUC) Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Framework (2022)
Rising disasters require agile and inter-operational early warning systems. In just four years (2015-2018), Africa recorded more than seven hundred (700) disaster events which affected over eighty (80) million people either directly or indirectly. These …
IGAD Regional Framework for Integrating Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
Majority of the disasters occurring in the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) region are originating from hydro meteorological hazards. They include drought, floods, landslides, windstorms, lightening, extreme temperatures and wildfires among others. Such disasters are …