Featured Publications
Technical Statement from the 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 70)
The 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 70) was held from 19 - 20 May 2025, o…
GHACOF 69 report
GHACOF 69 concluded in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, with a strong call for enhanced regional collaboratio…
Evaluation of satellite‑based rainfall estimates over the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Satellite precipitation (rainfall) products have become increasingly valuable in the delivery of cl…
Statement on the ongoing extreme temperatures in the IGAD region
During the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69), ICPAC released the March-…
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A review of satellite-based global agricultural monitoring systems available for Africa
The increasing frequency and severity of extreme climatic events and their impacts are being realized in many regions of the world, particularly in smallholder crop and livestock production systems in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). These events …
Global Report on Food Crises, 2021
According to the recently launched Global Report on Food Crises, 2021, the severity of food crises worsened in 2020, with protracted conflict, the economic fallout of COVID‑19 and weather extremes highlighted as the key …
ICPAC Guide for Engagement in Co-producing Climate Services
The co-production approach has become a central tenet to ICPAC’s role in effective provision of climate services in Eastern Africa and it has been instrumental for the improvement of the quality of climate services in …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2021
March to May is an important season for Kenya, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, Somalia, and parts of Ethiopia. A wetter than usual season is expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, western Ethiopia, eastern South Sudan, …
Circulation Patterns Associated with Current and Future Rainfall over Ethiopia and South Sudan from a Convection-Permitting Model
This is the first African-lead analysis of the high resolution climate change simulations which allow convection to develop explicitly as opposed to using approximation methods. The research compares this model to a regional climate model …
Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains
There is a strong association between canonical El Niño and a wet Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) short rains. However, the link with Modoki El Niño events appears to be significantly weaker. In order to …
Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action
Reliable information on the likelihood of drought is of crucial importance in agricultural planning and humanitarian decision-making. Acting based upon probabilistic forecasts of drought, rather than responding to prevailing drought conditions, has the potential to …
Policy Brief Hiraan Region Hirshabelle
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Policy Brief Hirshabelle (Hiraan Region)
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …