Featured Publications
Summary for Decision Makers, June to September 2025 Season
Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the June-September 2025 se…
Technical Statement from the 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 70)
The 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 70) was held from 19 - 20 May 2025, o…
GHACOF 69 report
GHACOF 69 concluded in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, with a strong call for enhanced regional collaboratio…
Evaluation of satellite‑based rainfall estimates over the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Satellite precipitation (rainfall) products have become increasingly valuable in the delivery of cl…
All Publications
Filter by Publication Type
Filter by Service
Filter by Project
Filter by Year
Showing 174 results
Seasonal rainfall forecasting using the Multi-Model Ensemble Technique over the Greater Horn of Africa
This study evaluated the skill of forecasting seasonal rainfall over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) using Ensemble Model Technique from a cluster of four General Circulation Climate Models (GCMs) from Global Producing Centers (GPCs). …
Data Rescue Activities at ICPAC
The implementation plan for the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) includes large scale Data Rescue as its priority area through WMO and Regional Climate Center (RCCs) like IGAD Climate Prediction and Application Center (ICPAC), …
Trend analysis of climate change and its impacts on crop productivity in the lower Tana river basin, Kenya
Impacts of Climate change and the associated vulnerabilities have increasingly become significant environmental issues of concern across the globe. Climate change is one of the greatest impediments to the realization of the first Millennium Development …
Potential impacts of climate and environmental change 2 on the stored water of Lake Victoria Basin and 3 economic implications
The changing climatic patterns and increasing human population within the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB), together with overexploitation of water for economic activities call for assessment of water management for the entire basin. This study focused …
Forecasting droughts in East Africa
The humanitarian crisis caused by the recent droughts (2008–2009 and 2010–2011) in the East African region have illustrated that the ability to make accurate drought predictions with adequate lead time is essential. The use of …
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa region from 1961 to 2010
Recent special reports on climate extremes have shown evidences of changes in the patterns of climate extremes at global, regional and local scales. Understanding the characteristics of climate extremes at regional and local levels is …
Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating East African Rainfall
This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, …
Quality control procedures at ICPAC
It is widely known that raw digital climate data are subject to a wide range of errors, which can be introduced along the chain of collecting, digitizing, processing, transferring, storing and transmitting the data (Anonymous …
Spatial coherence and potential predictability assessment of intraseasonal statistics of wet and dry spells over Equatorial Eastern Africa
The aim of this study was to derive components of the intraseasonal rainfall variations from the daily rainfall in the Equatorial Eastern Africa region and assess their spatial coherence, a pointer to their potential predictability. …