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Stakeholder Consultations: Impact Based Forecast Development
The importance of an inclusive, gender-transformative approach to implementing IBF emerged as a key…
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2025 Season
Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the October-December 2025 …
GHACOF 70 report
The 70th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF70) was held from 19th to 20th May 202…
Technical Statement from the 71st Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 71)
The 71st Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF71) was held in Nairobi from August 25…
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Trend analysis of climate change and its impacts on crop productivity in the lower Tana river basin, Kenya
Impacts of Climate change and the associated vulnerabilities have increasingly become significant environmental issues of concern across the globe. Climate change is one of the greatest impediments to the realization of the first Millennium Development …
Potential impacts of climate and environmental change 2 on the stored water of Lake Victoria Basin and 3 economic implications
The changing climatic patterns and increasing human population within the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB), together with overexploitation of water for economic activities call for assessment of water management for the entire basin. This study focused …
Forecasting droughts in East Africa
The humanitarian crisis caused by the recent droughts (2008–2009 and 2010–2011) in the East African region have illustrated that the ability to make accurate drought predictions with adequate lead time is essential. The use of …
Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Greater Horn of Africa region from 1961 to 2010
Recent special reports on climate extremes have shown evidences of changes in the patterns of climate extremes at global, regional and local scales. Understanding the characteristics of climate extremes at regional and local levels is …
Assessment of the Performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating East African Rainfall
This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, …
Quality control procedures at ICPAC
It is widely known that raw digital climate data are subject to a wide range of errors, which can be introduced along the chain of collecting, digitizing, processing, transferring, storing and transmitting the data (Anonymous …
Spatial coherence and potential predictability assessment of intraseasonal statistics of wet and dry spells over Equatorial Eastern Africa
The aim of this study was to derive components of the intraseasonal rainfall variations from the daily rainfall in the Equatorial Eastern Africa region and assess their spatial coherence, a pointer to their potential predictability. …
Components of rainy seasons’ variability in Equatorial East Africa: onset, cessation, rainfall frequency and intensity
The inter-annual and spatial variability of different rainfall variables is analysed over Equatorial East Africa (Kenya and northeastern Tanzania). At the station level, three variables are considered: the total precipitation amount (P), the number of …
Falling Lake Victoria water levels: Is climate a contributing factor?
Recently, and perhaps most threatening, Lake Victoria water level has been receding at an alarming rate. A recent study suggested the possibility of the expanded hydroelectric power station in Uganda. However, since the lake receives …