Featured Publications
THE JUBA DECLARATION ON INSTITUTIONALISATION OF ANTICIPATORY ACTION, 2026
The First South Sudan National Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Action
14–16 September 2026, Juba, …
The 6th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF6)
From 8th to 10th September, Lodwar, Kenya, brought together climate experts, government leaders, pa…
Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increa…
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
All Publications
Filter by Publication Type
Filter by Service
Filter by Project
Filter by Year
Showing 214 results
Magnitudes of Climate Variability and Changes over the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands of Kenya between 1961 and 2013 Period
The magnitude and trend of temperature and rainfall extremes as indicators of climate variability and change were investigated in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) of Kenya using in-situ measurements and gridded climate proxy datasets, …
Characterization of the Sahelian-Sudan rainfall based on observations and regional climate models
The African Sahel region is known to be highly vulnerable to climate variability and change. We analyze rainfall in the Sahelian Sudan in terms of distribution of rain-days and amounts, and examine whether regional climate …
Adapting agriculture to climate change: suitability of banana crop production to future climate change over Uganda
The aim of this study was to determine suitability zones of future banana growth under a changing climate to guide the design of future adaptation options in the banana sub-sector of Uganda. The study used …
Temperature and heat in informal settlements in Nairobi
Nairobi, Kenya exhibits a wide variety of micro-climates and heterogeneous surfaces. Paved roads and high-rise buildings interspersed with low vegetation typify the central business district, while large neighborhoods of informal settlements or “slums” are characterized …
Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR
Statistically downscaled forecasts of October–December (OND) rainfall are evaluated over East Africa from two general circulation model (GCM) seasonal prediction systems. The method uses canonical correlation analysis to relate variability in predicted large-scale rainfall (characterizing, …
Changes in Rainfall and Surface Temperature Over Lower Jubba, Somalia
Climate is changing at an alarming rate threatening the critical pillars for environmental, social and economic development. Signals of climate change seems to be quite real for many African communities. Somalia, is one the countries …
Tools and Procedures for Seasonal Downscaling of Climate Forecasts for Use by Farmers Over the Greater Horn of Africa: A Case Study for Western Kenya
Seasonal climate outlooks have become a necessary input to agricultural planning and execution of all farming activities as a form of adaptation to climate change and variability. Extended climate forecasts of 3–4 months pose a …
Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of the June-August Seasonal Rainfall and Temperature over South Sudan
Climate extremes including drought, floods, and high/low temperatures are recurrent in South Sudan and they are associated with widespread socio-economic miseries. This study aims at enhancing our understanding of past and present characteristics of climate …
Investigating the Homogeneity of Monthly Rainfall Records in Kenya
Homogenization of climate data is of major importance because non-climatic factors make available data unrepresentative of the actual climate variation, and thus the conclusions of climatic and hydrological studies are potentially biased. A great deal …