Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
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Changes and variability in rainfall onset, cessation, and length of rainy season in the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Rainfall onset dates (ROD), rainfall cessation dates (RCD), and length of the rainy season (LRS) are crucial for crop production and food security in Eastern Africa, yet they are scantily documented. This paper seeks to …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Livestock
- Water and Energy
- Health
How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts …
Representation of land–atmosphere coupling processes over Africa in coupled model intercomparison project Phase 6
Climate models are useful tools for monthly to decadal predictions of the evolution of climate.
This study assesses how CMIP6 models represent soil moisture-latent heat regimes and coupling processes between the land and atmosphere.
Metrics …
Technical Statement from the 63rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF63)
March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where MAM rainfall contributes up to 60% of the total annual rainfall. Analysis of …
IGAD Regional Strategy For Disaster Risk Management (2019-2030)
IGAD has developed a regional strategy for DRM, aligned to the Sendai Framework for DRR and the continental Programme of Action (PoA) for implementation of DRR in Africa through a consultative process. The regional strategy, …
IGAD Institutional and Operational Framework for Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Early Action
Disasters are a yearly challenge for Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, and like all other African regions, the scale and impact of disasters is increasing, especially those associated with climate and weather-related …
The African Union Commission (AUC) Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems Framework (2022)
Rising disasters require agile and inter-operational early warning systems. In just four years (2015-2018), Africa recorded more than seven hundred (700) disaster events which affected over eighty (80) million people either directly or indirectly. These …
IGAD Regional Framework for Integrating Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
Majority of the disasters occurring in the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) region are originating from hydro meteorological hazards. They include drought, floods, landslides, windstorms, lightening, extreme temperatures and wildfires among others. Such disasters are …
Regional Strategy and Action Plan for Mainstreaming Gender in Disaster Risk Management and Climate Change Adaptation
Disasters do not affect everyone in the same way – instead this depends on levels of vulnerability, which vary with various socially-constructed facets of identity, such as gender. In a gender-unequal world, women and girls …