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GHACOF 69 report
GHACOF 69 concluded in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, with a strong call for enhanced regional collaboratio…
Evaluation of satellite‑based rainfall estimates over the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Satellite precipitation (rainfall) products have become increasingly valuable in the delivery of cl…
Statement on the ongoing extreme temperatures in the IGAD region
During the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69), ICPAC released the March-…
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2025 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following secto…
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Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP) Training and Implementation for Machakos County, Kenya, for OND 2023 Rainfall season
The first PSP training and demonstration in Machakos County was supported by the Intra-ACP Climate Services and Related Applications programme (ClimSA). The objective of the workshop was to develop and implement adaptation strategies and measures …
Comparative report on flood displacement mitigation policies
In the IGAD region, floods have become increasingly frequent and intense due to climate variability and change, resulting in 10.7 million new displacements between 2008 and 2022, related to 291 flood disasters reported (IDMC Database, …
Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa
Afforestation as a climate change mitigation option has been the subject of intense debate and study over the last few decades, particularly in the tropics, where agricultural activity is expanding.
However, the impact of such …
Evaluation of CMIP6 historical simulations over IGAD region of Eastern Africa
The Accuracy of model simulations is critical for climate change and its socio-economic impact. This study evaluated23 Global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The main objective was to …
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and nutrition
- Livestock
How should I use seasonal forecasts? …
New Functionalities and Regional/National Use Cases of the Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Platform
The Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Decision Support System was launched operationally in 2017 to provide timely early warning information on agricultural production based on Earth observation and agro-climatic data in an open and …
Technical statement from the 65th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF65) 22 August 2023; Nairobi, Kenya
October to December (OND) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where OND contributes 20-70% of the annual total rainfall. Analysis of global climate model …
Extreme climatic events to intensify over the Lake Victoria Basin under global warming
This paper presents an analysis of future precipitation patterns over the Lake Victoria Basin, East Africa, using bias-corrected CMIP6 model projections.
A mean increase of about 5% in mean annual (ANN) and seasonal [March–May (MAM), …
A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands
The Horn of Africa drylands (HAD) are among the most vulnerable regions to hydroclimatic extremes.
The two rainfall seasons—long and short rains—exhibit high intraseasonal and interannual variability. Accurately simulating the long and short rains has …