Featured Publications
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
State of the Climate in Eastern Africa 2025
The State of Climate 2025 report is structured to deliver a comprehensive assessment of climate con…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in the Northern Parts of Eastern Africa- August 2026 Update
Rainfall deficits have persisted across the northern sector of the Eastern Africa region from May t…
Climate Vulnerability Assessment for the Agriculture Sector in Machakos and Makueni Counties, Kenya
This Climate Vulnerability Assessment examines the agricultural sector’s exposure and sensitivity t…
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Showing 211 results
AD-vine copula-based quantile regression towards merging satellite precipitation products over rugged topography: a case study in the upper Tekeze–Atbara Basin
Precipitation is a vital key element in various studies of hydrology, flood prediction, drought monitoring, and water resource management. The main challenge in conducting studies in remote regions with rugged topography is that weather stations …
Technical Statement from the 66th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF66)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the March to May 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates a higher probability of wetter-than-normal conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, the …
Trends of Hunger and Food Insecurity over IGAD Region of Eastern Africa
The eight countries under the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) of Eastern Africa considered countries in the African continent that are vulnerable to climate change and Extreme events(IPCC, 2018). Change and variability in extreme rainfall …
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Every year Africa is hit by extreme floods which, combined with high levels of vulnerability and increasing population exposure, often result in humanitarian crises and population displacement. Impact-based forecasting and early warning for natural hazards …
Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of Africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts
This paper suggests a probabilistic framework for predicting when the rainy season will start over the Greater Horn of Africa. It uses bias-corrected, long-range, multi-model ensemble precipitation forecasts to do this.
When you look closely …
Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa
The Greater Horn of Africa is prone to extreme climatic conditions, thus, making climate services increasingly important in supporting decision-making processes across a range of climate-sensitive sectors. This study aims to provide a comprehensive review …
Development of a data model and capacity development for human mobility due to slow-onset events in the IGAD Region
Human mobility can be categorized in a variety of ways. For example, mobility flows can be separated in terms of the distance of the movement, the length of time spent moving, the reasons for the …
Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts
Droughts are more and more often a limiting factor in agricultural production and can have severe negative effects on food security in vulnerable countries. Global agriculture early warning systems monitor agriculture in near real-time by …
Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP) Training and Implementation for Kiboga district, Uganda for SOND 2023 Rainfall season
The Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA) with support from the Climate Services and Related Applications (ClimSA) project organized a Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP) for SOND rainfall Season 2023 for Kiboga District, from 05th – 06th …