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GHACOF 69 report
GHACOF 69 concluded in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, with a strong call for enhanced regional collaboratio…
Evaluation of satellite‑based rainfall estimates over the IGAD region of Eastern Africa
Satellite precipitation (rainfall) products have become increasingly valuable in the delivery of cl…
Statement on the ongoing extreme temperatures in the IGAD region
During the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69), ICPAC released the March-…
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2025 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following secto…
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Showing 171 results
Future changes in rainfall associated with ENSO, IOD and changes in the mean state over Eastern Africa
This study examines the projected changes in the characteristics of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in terms of mean state, intensity and frequency, and associated rainfall anomalies over eastern …
Greater Horn of Africa Climate and Food Security Atlas
The Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate-related risks, appearing through highly variable and erratic rainfall together with rising temperatures, droughts and floods that have increased in frequency …
Magnitudes of Climate Variability and Changes over the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands of Kenya between 1961 and 2013 Period
The magnitude and trend of temperature and rainfall extremes as indicators of climate variability and change were investigated in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) of Kenya using in-situ measurements and gridded climate proxy datasets, …
Characterization of the Sahelian-Sudan rainfall based on observations and regional climate models
The African Sahel region is known to be highly vulnerable to climate variability and change. We analyze rainfall in the Sahelian Sudan in terms of distribution of rain-days and amounts, and examine whether regional climate …
Adapting agriculture to climate change: suitability of banana crop production to future climate change over Uganda
The aim of this study was to determine suitability zones of future banana growth under a changing climate to guide the design of future adaptation options in the banana sub-sector of Uganda. The study used …
Temperature and heat in informal settlements in Nairobi
Nairobi, Kenya exhibits a wide variety of micro-climates and heterogeneous surfaces. Paved roads and high-rise buildings interspersed with low vegetation typify the central business district, while large neighborhoods of informal settlements or “slums” are characterized …
Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR
Statistically downscaled forecasts of October–December (OND) rainfall are evaluated over East Africa from two general circulation model (GCM) seasonal prediction systems. The method uses canonical correlation analysis to relate variability in predicted large-scale rainfall (characterizing, …
Changes in Rainfall and Surface Temperature Over Lower Jubba, Somalia
Climate is changing at an alarming rate threatening the critical pillars for environmental, social and economic development. Signals of climate change seems to be quite real for many African communities. Somalia, is one the countries …
Tools and Procedures for Seasonal Downscaling of Climate Forecasts for Use by Farmers Over the Greater Horn of Africa: A Case Study for Western Kenya
Seasonal climate outlooks have become a necessary input to agricultural planning and execution of all farming activities as a form of adaptation to climate change and variability. Extended climate forecasts of 3–4 months pose a …