Featured Publications
THE JUBA DECLARATION ON INSTITUTIONALISATION OF ANTICIPATORY ACTION, 2026
The First South Sudan National Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Action
14–16 September 2026, Juba, …
The 6th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF6)
From 8th to 10th September, Lodwar, Kenya, brought together climate experts, government leaders, pa…
Summary for Decision Makers - October to December 2026 Season
The regional downscaled rainfall forecast for the October – December (OND) 2026 indicates an increa…
Technical Statement from the 74th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF74)
The analysis of rainfall probabilities for the October–December 2026 season shows a high likelihood…
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Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2021
March to May is an important season for Kenya, Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, Somalia, and parts of Ethiopia. A wetter than usual season is expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, western Ethiopia, eastern South Sudan, …
Circulation Patterns Associated with Current and Future Rainfall over Ethiopia and South Sudan from a Convection-Permitting Model
This is the first African-lead analysis of the high resolution climate change simulations which allow convection to develop explicitly as opposed to using approximation methods. The research compares this model to a regional climate model …
Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains
There is a strong association between canonical El Niño and a wet Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) short rains. However, the link with Modoki El Niño events appears to be significantly weaker. In order to …
Evaluation and validation of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture and WRSI for use in drought anticipatory action
Reliable information on the likelihood of drought is of crucial importance in agricultural planning and humanitarian decision-making. Acting based upon probabilistic forecasts of drought, rather than responding to prevailing drought conditions, has the potential to …
Policy Brief Hiraan Region Hirshabelle
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Policy Brief Hirshabelle (Hiraan Region)
The main goal of the Rural Livelihood’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa – Phase II (RLACC II) by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) project in Somalia and Sudan …
Advisories OND 2020 Bari and Nugaal Region Puntland
Advisories for Bari and Nugaal Region, Puntland, October-November-December Season, 2020
Advisories OND 2020, Galguduud Region, Galmudug
Advisories for Galguduud Region, Galmudug, October-November-December Season, 2020
Advisories OND 2020, Hiraan Region, Hirshabelle
Advisories for Hiraan Region, Hirshabelle, October-November-December Season, 2020