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Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories
With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, coun…
March-MAY (MAM) 2026 SEASONAL FORECAST FOR IGAD CLUSTER II
The 5th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF5) was held on 10–12 February 2026 in Moyale, Et…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update
Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts…
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2026 Season
Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the March-May 2026 season …
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Agriculture Seasonal Monitoring and Early Warning in Eastern Africa
Approximately 60% of the Horn of Africa region is under Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs). Close to 80% of the total population dependent on agriculture which is mainly subsistence and rain-fed. However, rainfall is uneven, …
Climate change and locust outbreak in East Africa
From the end of 2019 to early 2020, a desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) outbreak across several East African countries posed a serious risk to food security and livelihoods. A second wave is currently active and …
State of the Climate in Africa 2019
Temperatures in Africa have been rising in recent decades at a rate comparable to that of most other continents and thus somewhat faster than global mean surface temperature, which incorporates a large ocean component. The …
Summary for Decision Makers, June to September 2020
June to September is an important season for Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and Uganda. A wetter than usual season is forecasted for western and central Sudan, southwestern Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, western Kenya, …
Heavy precipitation events over East Africa in a changing climate: results from CORDEX RCMs
The study assesses the performance of 24 model runs from five Coordinated Regional climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) regional climate models (RCMs) in simulating East Africa’s spatio-temporal precipitation characteristics using a set of eight descriptors: consecutive …
Formation technique sur place sur l'évaluation des risques à l'aide de l'observation de la Terre et des SIG pour Djibouti
- Module 1: Introduction aux systèmes d'Information Géographiques (GIS)
- Module 2: Introduction à l'observation de la terre / à la télédétection
- Module 3: L'évaluation des catastrophes, de la vulnérabilité et des risques
Evaluating Climate Models with an African lens
Africa lags the rest of the world in climate model development. This paper explores the potential for region-specific, process-based evaluation to promote progress in modeling and confidence assessments.
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2020
March, April, May is an important rainfall season in East Africa. The forecast indicates a high likelihood of a wetter than usual season in western Kenya, south-western and eastern Uganda as well as eastern Rwanda …
Projected effects of 1.5° C and 2° C global warming levels on the intra- seasonal rainfall characteristics over the Greater Horn of Africa
This study examines the effects of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels(GWLs) on intra-seasonal rainfall characteristics over the Greater Horn of Africa. The impacts are analysed based on the outputs of a 25-member …