Featured Publications
El Nino Preparedness Guidelines for Cities
An advisory note by UN-Habitat and IGAD providing an anticipatory action framework to help city and…
Mombasa Ministerial Declaration on Anticipatory Action, 2026
Ministers responsible for Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Affairs from IGAD Member States…
DESERT LOCUST RISK UNDER A STRENGTHENING EL NIÑO: IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GREATER HORN OF AFRICA
Since 2022, the Greater Horn of Africa transitioned from a regional Desert Locust upsurge to locali…
Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter
The Q2 2026 Anticipatory Action Newsletter, produced by ICPAC, captures a quarter in which Anticipa…
All Publications
Filter by Publication Type
Filter by Service
Filter by Project
Filter by Year
Showing 104 results
Technical statement from the 65th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF65) 22 August 2023; Nairobi, Kenya
October to December (OND) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where OND contributes 20-70% of the annual total rainfall. Analysis of global climate model …
A Lagrangian Analysis of the Sources of Rainfall Over the Horn of Africa Drylands
The Horn of Africa drylands (HAD) are among the most vulnerable regions to hydroclimatic extremes.
The two rainfall seasons—long and short rains—exhibit high intraseasonal and interannual variability. Accurately simulating the long and short rains has …
Summary for Decision Makers, June to September 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts are tailored …
Statement from the 64th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF64)
June to September (JJAS) is an important rainy season, especially in the northern regions of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where it contributes to more than 50% of the annual rainfall. The forecast indicates …
Communiqué du 64ème Forum de Prévision Climatique de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHACOF 64), 22-24 Mai 2023 ; Addis Abeba, Éthiopie
La période de Juin à Septembre (JJAS) est une saison des pluies importante, en particulier dans les régions du nord de la Grande Corne de l'Afrique (GHA), où elle contribue à plus de 50 % …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Livestock
- Water and Energy
- Health
How should I use seasonal forecasts? Seasonal forecasts …
Representation of land–atmosphere coupling processes over Africa in coupled model intercomparison project Phase 6
Climate models are useful tools for monthly to decadal predictions of the evolution of climate.
This study assesses how CMIP6 models represent soil moisture-latent heat regimes and coupling processes between the land and atmosphere.
Metrics …
Technical Statement from the 63rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF63)
March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where MAM rainfall contributes up to 60% of the total annual rainfall. Analysis of …
IGAD Institutional and Operational Framework for Multi-Hazard Early Warning and Early Action
Disasters are a yearly challenge for Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, and like all other African regions, the scale and impact of disasters is increasing, especially those associated with climate and weather-related …